This is my first post in a very long time. The only reason I am posting today is because I didn’t really have to do anything to put this post up. The following analysis is from an email I just received breaking down a recently listed retail center. Needless to say, the property is way [...]
Apr
25
Breakdown: My Analysis of a Deal That Was Too Good To Be True
I have been asked by more than a handful of friends and colleagues to write a post on a specific listing in Simi Valley, CA that was recently brought to market by CBRE. I decided to put my thoughts in writing and attempt to explain how exactly I would break this particular deal down and [...]
Oct
28
CRE Takeaways From Bill Gross’ Investment Outlook
Bill Gross, PIMCO’s revered managing director, has just published his most recent investment outlook. In it, he calls the end of the recent market rally and warns of a necessity to come to grips with the fact that a new normal is headed our way. The closing sentences sum up his point nicely and he [...]
Oct
26
CMBS Bonds Downgraded on Special Servicing Action
Standard & Poor’s had downgraded 15 classes of bonds backed by a $425 million loan secured against the Four Seasons Hotel in New York and 3 other luxury resort hotels. The action was triggered by a drop in cash flow which was 46% below S&P expectations. Surely, the expected cash flow figure had already been [...]
Oct
22
A Few More Words on Vacancy Factors in CRE Underwriting
I wanted to make another quick point on CRE underwriting as it relates to vacancy. Some of the more “with it” sellers have begun allowing vacancy factors underwritten into their offering memorandums. What is often overlooked is the actual relation of the vacancy factor to operations. Often you will see a vacancy factor of 3% [...]
Jul
15
To Good Not to Share
I had to share this. I have been talking to a shopping center owner about selling his strip center in SoCal. I just got the rent roll and operating statement. On the rent roll is an additional 25% of GLA (gross leasable area) that is not even built yet! Better yet, they believe they should [...]