Posts Tagged ‘distressed real estate’

Another CREOBA Post

I have been receiving numerous emails from CREOBA every single day for a very long time and just archiving them for some future post or action that I have yet to think of.  Today’s email does require a quick mention though.  Apparently, CREOBA has decided to start offering their hugely valuable (ha!) courses via webinar!  [...]

CRE Takeaways From Bill Gross’ Investment Outlook

Bill Gross, PIMCO’s revered managing director, has just published his most recent investment outlook.  In it, he calls the end of the recent market rally and warns of a necessity to come to grips with the fact that a new normal is headed our way.  The closing sentences sum up his point nicely and he [...]

CMBS Bonds Downgraded on Special Servicing Action

Standard & Poor’s had downgraded 15 classes of bonds backed by a $425 million loan secured against the Four Seasons Hotel in New York and 3 other luxury resort hotels.  The action was triggered by a drop in cash flow which was 46% below S&P expectations.  Surely, the expected cash flow figure had already been [...]

A Few More Words on Vacancy Factors in CRE Underwriting

I wanted to make another quick point on CRE underwriting as it relates to vacancy.  Some of the more “with it” sellers have begun allowing vacancy factors underwritten into their offering memorandums.  What is often overlooked is the actual relation of the vacancy factor to operations.  Often you will see a vacancy factor of 3% [...]

Is A New Underwriting Trend Emerging in CRE?

I received a marketing brochure today that, quite frankly, left me a bit shocked.  The property is a multi-tenant retail building in a power center in Southern California.  The shocking part of the offering was that the seller and broker were NOT attempting to capitalize income from the vacant suites.  Maybe CRE practitioners are starting [...]

Office Vacancy at 16.5%

Another post from Calculated Risk showing office vacancy rates since 1991.  We are not as bad as we were in 1991 but it looks like we are heading there.  Graph below from CR.

Have CRE Prices Bottomed?

I just came across this article in which Mike Kirby, Director of Research at Green Street Advisors claims that CRE values may not drop any further than they already have.
My head is spinning now.  I don’t know what to think anymore.  Its almost as if everyone is entitled to their own opinion.
Maybe CAP rates are [...]

Never Mind, No Green Shoots for Retail

It looks like retailers are not faring so well after all.  From an article published today at DallasNews.com titled “Speakers at Retailing Summit in Dallas offer sobering assessment” (emphasis mine):
Retailers shouldn’t expect to see the pre-recession shopper in this economic recovery, and a shakeout with store closings is still ahead, speakers said Thursday at the [...]

Calls From Appraisers Increasing – Banks Clearly Worried About Losses

Lately I have been receiving a high volume of calls from appraisers.  Appraiser calls are nothing new.  Normally, I receive a handful a month calling to ask questions about properties I have sold or asking for my opinion on a particular property they are trying to value.  Now, I am receiving several appraisal calls per [...]

Distressed Opportunity of the Week

I presume investors will be lining up to get a shot at this beauty.  The good news is that the property is zoned M-1 (light manufacturing) so if you can’t stabilize with the currently approved use you can convert the building into a manufacturing facility making the products that will be used in other buildings [...]